Baltimore arrives as a massive underdog in Fenway, with playoff odds barely above zero, while Boston sits solidly in the AL East playoff mix and the top wild-card spot. Monday’s game pairs Trevor Rogers against Dustin May in a key AL East matchup with real fantasy fallout. Rogers has been a revelation in 2025 for Baltimore (1.43 ERA across 11 outings) and May is back in a Boston uniform, riding momentum from six shutout innings in his last turn against Houston.

Betting lines tilt Boston, but the prop market leans toward a tight, low-hit night for Rogers. Under 5.5 hits allowed is the popular call, given Rogers’ 0.81 WHIP and .232 expected average allowed this year. May, while still not flawless, flashed form in his latest Houston start that could carry to Fenway. The Oriole right-hander may steal a surprise win or keep this tight, making Orioles +102 a tempting value play on DraftKings as BOS eyes a narrow win in a tight AL showdown.

Beatles night at Citi Field turns tense as the Mets fall 11-9 to Seattle after a brutal bullpen meltdown. Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto supplied early thunder, Lindor driving in four and Soto launching a 30th homer to push New York ahead. The lead vanished in a six-run seventh inning highlighted by Cal Raleigh’s leadoff double, Eugenio Suárez’s RBI double to tie, and Dominic Canzone’s RBI single as Seattle surged ahead. The Mets’ new bullpen trio of Rogers, Helsley and Raley couldn’t close the door, extending a skid that has seen them drop 14 of 16.

Francisco Alvarez connected for a three-run homer in the eighth, but the comeback fell short. The night also carried a Beatles anniversary vibe and a note of wild-card math, with Milwaukee erasing a seven-run hole to beat Cincinnati and keeping New York just a half-game up on the Reds for the final NL wild-card spot. Next up, Seattle’s Bryan Woo was slated to start while Mets rookie-to-be Nolan McLean eyed MLB debut implications amid the continued bullpen shakeups.

Seattle travels to Baltimore for a high-stakes tilt with the Orioles, a game that could echo last night’s tight 1-0 Mariners win behind seven innings from George Kirby. Tonight Logan Gilbert faces Trevor Rogers in a rematch of two potent young aces, with Kremer back on the other side. Naylor’s RBI in the first provided the difference and kept Baltimore in striking distance, but the visitors won with pitching and minimal offense. Expect another low-scoring duel as both bullpens get taxed late. NBC Sports lines list Seattle at -141 with a 8.0 over/under and a -1.5 spread, signaling a slim edge for the visitors in a battle of craft over power. Fantasy managers should lean on Gilbert’s elite strikeout pace, Rogers’ stingy ERA, and the potential for one big swing from Naylor or Suarez to swing a shallow scoreboard.

In a season shaped by pitching duels, this matchup could hinge on a handful of at-bats in the first two frames. The Mariners have rode a 9-1 stretch in their last 10, while Baltimore tries to arrest a slide. Polanco and Suarez have shown upside in August, while Polanco’s recent struggles and Suarez’s August slump warrant a measured approach. If you’re chasing upside, both Gilbert and Kremer carry the upside of a big K night or abes of control, while the under has cred in recent Mariners-Orioles affairs.

Across the board, the day’s model leans toward cautious betting and careful DFS builds: a low-scoring game with a narrow winning margin, and a few players poised for breakout moments from deep rosters. The game’s path to fantasy relevance comes through Gilbert’s matchup control, Naylor’s early-inning contact, and the bullpen bridge that follows a tight start.

RotoBaller’s Week 20 Fantasy Risers and Fallers spotlights four players shaping the final stretch: Shea Langeliers takes a late-season leap, Trevor Rogers sparks the Orioles’ rotation with ace-like bailouts, Lawrence Butler flanks a brutal second half with waning value, and Spencer Strider wrestles with velocity decay while still pushing big strikeouts. Langeliers excels in a hitter-friendly shift for Oakland, Rogers blends length with efficiency in Baltimore, Butler fights to recapture early-season power-speed flair, and Strider remains a top-tier strikeout option—when deployed, not when forced.

Langeliers has turned a career year into a true fantasy asset, delivering power, average, and speed while trimming strikeouts. Rogers’ numbers are flashy, but peripherals hint at regression, so riding the hot hand is wise but with caution. Butler’s second half has tanked his overall line, prompting patience or pivot to in-season producers. Strider’s velocity dip clouds the outlook, yet his slider remains elite and his K totals stay compelling in the right matchups. Kyle Stowers is noted for the Rogers trade context, adding depth to the O’s reshuffle.

For fantasy managers, the key is balancing upside with risk: chase Langeliers’ surging batted-ball profile and lineup context, monitor Rogers’ regression indicators, gauge Butler’s lineup volatility, and leverage Strider’s matchup-based ceiling. The playoff push rewards disciplined rostering and timely drops for underperformers, even when talent remains clear.

The stretch run of the fantasy baseball season is upon us, and four starting pitchers are highlighted for their potential to carry teams to victory. Brandon Woodruff of the Milwaukee Brewers has returned from injury with impressive stats, including a 1.65 ERA and a remarkable 39% strikeout rate, albeit with some concerns about his declining velocity. Trevor Rogers, now with the Baltimore Orioles, has shown a resurgence with a sub-2.00 ERA but may face regression due to high BABIP. Meanwhile, rookie Chase Burns of the Cincinnati Reds boasts a high strikeout rate but struggles with walks and home runs. Lastly, Joey Cantillo of the Cleveland Guardians, a less-rostered option, has flashed potential but carries significant risks due to a high walk rate and poor fastball performance.